Big 12 Football: Chaos Is the Name of the Game
Big 12 football is college football’s wildest ride, where underdogs rise, favorites fall, and every week brings a new twist. Take 2024: Arizona State, dismissed at +10000 odds, roared to an 11-3 record and a College Football Playoff spot, leaving fans and bettors stunned. As we look to 2025, win total bets are your ticket to join the madness before kickoff. FanDuel and Circa Sports have dropped their over/under lines, giving us a glimpse of what Vegas expects from the Big 12’s regular season. Whether you’re a passionate fan or a savvy bettor hunting for value, this guide breaks down the best 2025 Big 12 win total bets and delivers bold predictions to fuel your excitement. Let’s jump into the chaos!
2025 Big 12 Win Totals: Top Betting Picks
Arizona State Sun Devils: Can They Keep Shining?
Win Total: 8.5 (Over +110, Under -134)
The Sun Devils’ 11-3 run in 2024 was a shocker, but losing RB Cam Skattebo hurts. Quarterback Sam Leavitt (2,583 passing yards, 21 TDs) and WR Jordyn Tyson (75 catches, 1,101 yards) return to power Kenny Dillingham’s offense, bolstered by transfer portal additions like WR Jalen Moss. Tough road games at Baylor and Iowa State could challenge their momentum.
Best Bet: Over 8.5 (+110)
Leavitt’s dual-threat ability and ASU’s high-energy vibe make nine wins a solid bet. The Sun Devils are here to stay—grab the over for value.
Kansas State Wildcats: Avery Johnson’s Breakout Year?
Win Total: 8.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Kansas State’s 9-4 record in 2024 showcased QB Avery Johnson’s potential (25 passing TDs, 605 rushing yards). New offensive coordinator Matt Wells shakes things up, but losing receivers Ben Sinnott and Phillip Brooks stings. A brutal road slate with Iowa State and Colorado tests their depth.
Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-110)
A new playbook and unproven receivers could limit K-State to eight wins. Vegas loves Johnson’s upside, but the under feels safer here.
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Your Sleeper Over Bet
Win Total: 8.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Texas Tech went 8-5 in 2024, and coach Joey McGuire’s transfer portal haul—featuring Howard Sampson (North Carolina) and Romello Height (Georgia Tech)—makes them dangerous. QB Behren Morton (3,132 yards, 23 TDs) is a star, and a schedule avoiding Kansas State and Arizona State helps. Their defense (24.8 PPG allowed, 6th in Big 12) needs to hold up on the road.
Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-110)
Morton’s big arm and a favorable schedule point to nine or 10 wins. This is the best value bet in the Big 12—lock it in now!
Kansas Jayhawks: Jalon Daniels’ Revenge Tour
Win Total: 7.5 (Over -102, Under -120)
Kansas flopped at 5-7 in 2024 after injuries sidelined QB Jalon Daniels (3 games played). Now healthy, Daniels (2,231 yards, 17 TDs in 2023) pairs with RB Devin Neal (1,280 rushing yards) for a dynamic backfield. Road games at Iowa State and Kansas State challenge a defense that allowed 27.3 PPG last year.
Best Bet: Over 7.5 (-102)
A healthy Daniels and a late 2024 surge (3-2 in final five games) make eight wins likely. Take the over for a confident play.
Iowa State Cyclones: Boom or Bust in 2025?
Win Total: 7.5 (Over +104, Under -128)
Iowa State’s 11-3 season in 2024 was a high-water mark, but losing WRs Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel to the NFL hurts. QB Rocco Becht (2,902 yards, 18 TDs) and transfer Chase Sowell keep the offense alive, while their defense (19.2 PPG allowed, best in Big 12) remains elite. A tough schedule with Kansas State, Kansas, and BYU could cap their wins.
Best Bet: Under 7.5 (-128)
Losing key playmakers and a harder slate suggest seven wins. Bet the under for a safer pick on Iowa State’s regression.
Bold Predictions to Shake Up the Big 12
Texas Tech Steals the Big 12 Crown
The Red Raiders are flying under the radar, but their No. 1 Big 12 transfer portal class and Behren Morton’s arm make them a threat. A schedule dodging Arizona State and Kansas State sets them up for a title game run. Watch Texas Tech shock the conference in Arlington.
Sam Leavitt Crashes the Heisman Race
Arizona State’s Sam Leavitt (2,583 passing yards, 21 TDs, 587 rushing yards) was a 2024 star, and 2025 could be even bigger. If the Sun Devils hit nine or 10 wins, Leavitt’s dual-threat stats will land him in the Heisman top five. Big 12 defenses, beware!
Iowa State Upsets Kansas State in Ireland
The 2025 season opens with Kansas State vs. Iowa State in Ireland, and I’m calling a Cyclones stunner. K-State’s new offensive scheme and untested receivers could falter against Iowa State’s top-tier defense. Expect a 27-24 Iowa State win to shake up the Big 12 early.
BYU Sneaks into the College Football Playoff
BYU’s 11-2 run in 2024 proved their mettle, and their 7.5 win total is too low. A veteran roster and a soft schedule (no Kansas State or Arizona State) could lead to 10 wins and an at-large Playoff bid. Kalani Sitake’s Cougars are ready for the spotlight.
Jalon Daniels Ends Kansas’ Title Drought
Kansas hasn’t won a conference title since 1968, but Jalon Daniels could change that. With Daniels (2,231 yards, 17 TDs in 2023) and Devin Neal leading the charge, the Jayhawks could hit 9-3 and reach the Big 12 title game. This is Kansas’ year to shine.
Your Guide to Big 12 Betting Glory
The Big 12 is college football’s chaos factory, and 2025 will deliver more surprises. For bettors, Texas Tech’s over 8.5 and Kansas’ over 7.5 are your best bets, with Arizona State’s over 8.5 close behind. Fade Kansas State and Iowa State with under bets for safer plays. Our bold predictions—Texas Tech as champs, Leavitt in the Heisman race, and BYU in the Playoff—will keep you glued to the action. What’s your top bet or prediction? Share it in the comments. Follow us for season-long updates, and brace for another wild ride in Big 12 country!
