Analyzing the 2025 Women’s College Basketball National Championship Odds

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NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament Trophy. (Big 12 Photo By Ryan Weaver)

Breaking Down the 2025 Women’s College Basketball National Championship Odds

March Madness is just around the corner, and college basketball fans are targeting the best teams that are competing for the 2025 Women’s National Championship.

Let’s take a closer look at the teams that are being considered as the best, break down why their odds are what they are, and determine what makes them legitimate contenders.

South Carolina Gamecocks

Odds: +145

Dawn Staley’s South Carolina Gamecocks are last season’s champions and the lineups’ favorite to repeat. With a couple players entering the WNBA, however, this unit is still dominant. They’ve an unusually talented roster on all facets of offense—Te-Hina Paopao, Raven Johnson, and MiLaysia Fulwiley operate this club.”.

South Carolina’s dominating with a +29.17 point differential, showing they’re in a league of their own. They also landed Joyce Edwards, a No. 2-ranked recruit. Oh, and they’ve snagged three of the last seven titles since 2017.

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Key Player: Chloe Kitts is coming on huge, scoring 10.9 points and 7.1 rebounds per game.

Texas Longhorns

Odds: +400

Texas is shaping up to be a Final Four lock. Led by Vic Schaefer, the Longhorns are a tough, defense-minded team that can make anyone’s life miserable.

Texas beat No. 5 LSU 65-58 on February 16, 2025, pushing their winning streak to 10. They shut down LSU, keeping them 29 points shy of their season average. Madison Booker had 16 points and 10 rebounds to lead the charge. Texas moves to 26-2 overall and 12-1 in the SEC.

Key Player: Madison Booker’s a stud—she landed on the 2024-25 Women’s Late Midseason Top 20 Watch List and scored 16 points and grabbed 10 rebounds against LSU. Texas also landed Aaliyah Crump, a top-five recruit.

UConn Huskies

Odds: +450

UConn’s always dangerous in the NCAA tourney, even following injuries the last couple of years. With Paige Bueckers and coach Geno Auriemma, they’re eager to get back on top.

It’s nearly a decade since UConn’s previous national championship, yet this program’s still equated with top-shelf talent and excellence in women’s basketball.

X-Factor: Paige Bueckers is the X-factor—her game will make or break UConn’s title bid.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Odds: +700

Notre Dame’s been piling up huge victories over No. 1-ranked teams and just reached No. 1 in the AP poll. They humiliated No. 11 Duke 64-49 on February 17, 2025, securing their seventh victory against a ranked opponent.

Their defense was superb, limiting Duke to their season low in second-half scoring. Notre Dame’s remains undefeated in ACC play at 13-0.

Key Players: Hannah Hidalgo’s pacing a high-scoring offense, scoring 19 points against Duke. Sonia Citron added 15 points, 7 rebounds, and 3 steals.

USC Trojans

Odds: +950

JuJu Watkins and the USC Trojans possess one of the nation’s most explosive offenses and already defeated UConn this year. They’re early favorites to reach the Final Four.

The No. 4 Trojans moved up two positions in the AP Top-25 by defeating former No. 1 UCLA. They battled a slow start to defeat Washington 69-64 on February 16, 2025. Kiki Iriafen scored 19 points, while JuJu Watkins contributed 17.

Key Player: USC’s scoring dynamo is JuJu Watkins. She was named Big Ten Women’s Basketball Player of the Week for the fifth time this year after a 38-point, 11-rebound, eight-block, five-assist, one-steal performance against UCLA.

The 2025 Women’s National Championship is looking to be a crazy ride, with a group of teams primed to make a deep run.

South Carolina is the favorite at this point, but Texas, UConn, Notre Dame, and USC have the coaching and personnel to make a run. With the season underway and March Madness approaching, it’s going to be exciting to see these teams develop and battle it out.

Watch for high-profile matchups and injuries over the next few weeks—those will be gigantic in determining who is peaking at the right moment and what team can slip in as a dark horse.

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